Poll Says Joko-Kalla Electability Rebounds

Presidential candidate Joko Widodo during the last day of the presidential election campaign rally at Gelora Bung Karno stadium in Jakarta, on Saturday. (EPA Photo)

By : Jakarta Globe | on 7:22 PM July 07, 2014
Category : News, Politics, Featured

Jakarta. A new poll released on Monday by the Indonesia Survey Circle (LSI) shows that presidential candidates Joko Widodo and Jusuf Kalla’s electability has rebounded after a consistent decline over the past few months.

According to LSI, Joko and Kalla’s electability now stands at 47.8 percent, higher than their rivals Prabowo Subianto and Hatta Rajasa who were rated by 44.2 percent of the survey’s respondents.

“For the first time, the margin is widening with the rising [electability] of Joko and Kalla,” LSI researcher Fitri Hadi said, as quoted by state-run Antara news agency during a press conference on Monday.

The divide between both candidates has declined from 39.2 percent in Sept. 2013, with Joko in the lead, to only a 0.5 percentage point difference in June, according to data by the institution.

The latest poll now shows a 3.6 percent divide, with Joko leading.

Fitri attributed Joko’s rising electability to the massive campaign activities by Joko’s camp toward the end of the campaign period.

“Joko and Kalla came up with some fresh and interesting programs at the end of the campaign period. The voters, who [initially] hesitated decided to vote for Joko and Kalla,” she said.

“Their ‘First 100 Days’ program [which included promotion of] the Indonesia Smart Card and the Indonesia Health Card, really touched the poor,” Fitri added, referring to the program that outlines the pair’s programs planned for their first 100 days in office.

Fitri also highlighted campaign programs involving public figures, artists and other individuals considered influential on social media, as having helped improving support for Joko.

Last week, the hashtag #AkhirnyaMilihJokowi, or “finally decided on Jokowi” circulated among Indonesia’s Twitter users, who shared their personal reasons behind the decision to back Joko.

The amount of voices speaking up for the candidate online also came to life on Saturday afternoon, when tens of thousands of volunteers and supporters gathered at the Gelora Bung Karno stadium in Senayan, South Jakarta, for a massive music concert.

“Meanwhile, Prabowo and Hatta remains consistent, with no significant changes at the end of the campaign period, while Joko managed to make significant changes at the end of their campaign,” she said.

Regardless of the positive trend, however, Fitri warned that survey results may not be reflective of the final results of the election,  as the number of undecided voters remains a crucial and deciding factor.

Fitri also emphasized that despite the end of the campaign period on Saturday, activities held during the non-campaign period by both camps could still affect the final result.

“Movements during the non-campaign period could [still] take place, [this is] something the surveys will not be able to record,” Fitri said, explaining that the start of the non-campaign period also brought to a close polling activities.

LSI conducted its survey between July 2-5, using a multistage random sampling method with 2,400 samples. The survey claims a two percent margin of error.

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