‘Anything Can Happen’: Indonesia Should Focus on Domestic Market as US-China Tariff War Cools

Jakarta. The Indonesian Employer Association (Apindo) urged the government to focus on improving its domestic market, as household consumption still largely drives Indonesia’s growth amid a three-month tariff pause between the United States and China.
The two world’s largest economies have recently decided to roll back most of their tariffs on each other’s goods for 90 days. The US has agreed to slash its combined tariff rate on Chinese imports from 145 percent to 30 percent temporarily. China’s import tax on US goods will also drop from 125 percent to 10 percent during the truce. But the latest trade de-escalation does not mean Jakarta should let its guard down, according to Apindo’s chairwoman, Shinta Kamdani.
The seasoned businesswoman said the government should come up with ways to boost domestic consumption. At the same time, Jakarta should keep negotiating with US President Donald Trump’s team to "bring down or even eliminate" the 32 percent tariffs on US-bound Indonesian goods that would take effect early July, Shinta said.
“I’m not sure when this [trade war ceasefire] will last. ... It’s possible Trump will change his mind again, so let’s not just pin our hopes on uncertain deals,” Shinta told reporters in Jakarta on Tuesday evening.
Last month, Trump decided to slap a 10 percent baseline tariff on all US imports. He intends to further increase the tariffs for many of the US trading partners, including Indonesia -- the hikes were supposed to come into effect on April 9, but got postponed to July 9. Indonesia still has some time before the higher tariff hikes of 32 percent enter into force.
“Perhaps this is all just part of Trump's strategy. I wouldn’t even be surprised if Trump ends up imposing just the 10 percent tariffs, [and not proceed with the reciprocal tariff plan],” Shinta said.
She added: “So anything can happen, but we should pay attention to our domestic market. This remains a huge homework that we need to address. … Our economy is not mainly driven by exports, but by household consumption. … So let’s talk about how we can improve the people’s purchasing power and what sort of stimulus that [Indonesia can give to boost consumption].”

Shinta’s comment came not long after Indonesia announced its Q1 2025 growth had slowed to 4.87 percent year-on-year (yoy), missing the 5-percent range that the country had been hovering at.
Household consumption contributed 2.61 percentage points to the Q1 growth. The spending made by Indonesian households was about threefold of what net exports contributed to the Q1 2025 growth, which reached 0.83 percentage points, official statistics showed.
Household consumption grew 4.89 percent yoy in the first quarter, marking a slower pace compared to 4.91 percent yoy compared to the same period in 2024. Despite the slower growth, Shinta said that Apindo would keep its 2025 full-year economic projections within the range of 4.8 percent and 5.1 percent.
Tags: Keywords:Related Articles
Federal Judge Blocks Trump Effort to Keep Harvard From Hosting Foreign Students
Harvard sued the Department of Homeland Security in May after the agency withdrew the school’s certification to host foreign students.Khamenei Rejects Call to Surrender, Saying US Intervention Would Cause 'Irreparable Damage'
Khamenei dismissed the “threatening and absurd statements” by Trump.Israel Orders Tehran Evacuation as Airstrikes Escalate, Trump Issues Dire Warning
Israel orders 330,000 to evacuate Tehran as airstrikes hit Iran’s capital; Trump warns “Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!”Trump Mobile Unveiled: $499 Gold Phone, $47 Plan, and MAGA Branding
Trump family unveils T1 Mobile: a $499 gold-colored phone and $47.45/month plan targeting Americans seeking “values-aligned” service.G7 Leaders Gather in Canada for Summit Overshadowed by Israel-Iran Crisis and Trade Wars
French President Emmanuel Macron visited Greenland on Sunday for a highly symbolic stop on his way to Canada.Trump Vetoed Israeli Plan to Kill Ayatollah Ali Khamenei: Reports
The Israelis informed the Trump administration in recent days that it had developed a credible plan to kill Khamenei.Military Parade Rolls Through DC as 'No Kings' Protesters across US Decry Trump
About 6 in 10 Americans said Saturday’s parade was “not a good use” of government money.Trump Says Tariffs on Chinese Goods Will Total 55%
The US will provide China “what was agreed to,” including allowing Chinese students to attend American colleges and universities.Downtown LA Locked Down as Trump’s Crackdown Sparks Days of Chaos
LA police enforce curfew, arrest protesters amid growing unrest over Trump’s immigration crackdown. National Guard stands by in downtown.Trump Authorizes Additional 2,000 National Guard Members to Los Angeles
The last time the National Guard was activated without a governor's permission was in 1965 under the order of President Lyndon B. JohnsonThe Latest
Pegadaian Sees Highest Growth in South and Central Kalimantan
The region has recorded total outstanding loans of Rp 7.8 trillion, making it the second-best performing region nationwide.Indonesia Evacuates 101 Nationals from Iran Amid Escalating Regional Conflict
Indonesia evacuates 101 people from Iran, including citizens and embassy staff, amid rising regional tensions.USS Nimitz Sails Past Indonesia as Iran-Israel Conflict Escalates
The US aircraft carrier USS Nimitz transited Indonesia's Malacca Strait on June 17, likely heading to the Middle East.Pegadaian Semarang Regional Office Signs Legal Cooperation Agreement with Prosecutors
Prosecutors will assist with issuing warning letters, summonses, and debt collection efforts targeting delinquent customers.Millions Flex for International Yoga Day
From the Himalayas to the beaches, Indians joined mass yoga sessions as PM Modi led global celebrations for International Yoga Day.Most Popular
