Basuki 'Ahok' Tjahaja Purnama, right, and his running mate in the Jakarta governor race next year, Djarot Saiful Hidayat, at City Hall. (Antara Photo/Rivan Awal Lingga)
Ahok-Djarot Would Lose Runoff Election, Survey Finds
BY :JAKARTA GLOBE
OCTOBER 30, 2016
Jakarta. Incumbent Governor Basuki "Ahok" Tjahaja Purnama and Deputy Governor Djarot Saiful Hidayat would likely lose in a runoff election during next year's Jakarta gubernatorial election, a survey released Sunday (30/10) found.
A runoff second stage is launched in the case of no candidates reaching the minimum 50 percent plus one vote in the general poll.
The survey, conducted by a political analyst group Kedai Kopi, found the incumbent pair would lose in a runoff despite currently leading polls, Kompas.com reported.
Basuki and Djarot topped the electability result on 27.5 percent approval, followed by Anies Baswedan and Sandiaga Uno on 23.5 percent and Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono and Sylviana Murni trailing on 21 percent.
The Kedai Kopi’s survey also tested head-to-head race between three candidate pairs to see the possibility of second stage election, which will be held if none of the candidates manage to collect at least 50 percent plus one vote in the first stage poll.
In simulated runoffs, Anies and Sandi beat out the incumbents leading 43.9 percent against 37.3 percent. Meanwhile, 39.8 percent of respondents backed Agus and Sylvie ahead of Anies and Sandi on 39.2 percent.
Hendri Satrio, founder of the polling firm, said the incumbent team is facing decreasing favorability amid a string of controversies including allegations of insulting Islam, evictions in slum areas, connections to ongoing graft cases and reneging on an independent ticket with volunteer group Teman Ahok.
The survey, conducted Oct. 19 to 24 interviewed 694 respondents face-to-face across the province. The method was a multistage random sampling with a 4 percent margin of error.