Thursday, September 28, 2023

Australia Business Investment Slips Again, Outlook Uninspiring

Swati Pandey
February 23, 2017 | 2:00 pm
SHARE
Australian Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce said on Monday (14/08) he may not be eligible for parliament after being told he may be a dual citizen of Australia and New Zealand, potentially posing a threat to the conservative government's hold on power. (Reuters Photo/David Gray)
Australian Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce said on Monday (14/08) he may not be eligible for parliament after being told he may be a dual citizen of Australia and New Zealand, potentially posing a threat to the conservative government's hold on power. (Reuters Photo/David Gray)

Sydney. Australian business investment has fallen for the fourth straight quarter as miners continue to cut back, but other sectors narrowly upgraded their spending plans for the year in tentative signs of recovery.

Thursday's (23/02) figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed investment slipped 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter to A$27.6 billion ($21.18 billion), when analysts had looked for a fall of only 1 percent.

The decline was entirely driven by the mining sector where spending fell over 9 percent, even as new investment in manufacturing climbed 3.1 percent.

Importantly, spending on equipment, plant and machinery did edge up in the fourth quarter which adds to expectations economic growth bounced after a shock contraction in the previous quarter.

Advertisement

Figures due next week are generally expected to show the economy grew around 0.6 percent to 0.7 percent last quarter.

While economists are convinced that Australia has dodged its first recession in 25 years, the data are yet to show a meaningful recovery in the non-mining economy.

Indeed, spending plans for 2017/18 came in at A$80.6 billion, the lowest in a decade and under the A$84 billion many analysts had looked for.

Again all the weakness was in mining with investment in other parts of the economy unable to offset the plunge.

"That shows the momentum is still down. That's not what you want. What you want to see is a rise in those estimates," said Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP Capital.

"I think it keeps alive the prospect for another rate cut although the RBA has set a very high hurdle for taking rates lower."

After cutting rates to a record low of 1.5 percent last year, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been on hold in the expectation that growth in the A$1.6 trillion economy will accelerate to around 3 percent.

Just this week, RBA governor Philip Lowe argued the drag from mining was almost over and cutting rates again would only serve to inflate a debt-driven bubble in the housing market.

Businesses, however, do not seem keen to cooperate.

"Even though the mining capex drag is fading away, the recovery in non-mining is really tepid at this point," said Ben Jarman, an economist at JPMorgan.

"We are seeing global business sentiment surveys rally quite a bit but it doesn't appear like Australian firms are following suit with their capex plans at the moment."

Reuters

Tags: Keywords:
SHARE

POPULAR READS


Special Updates 6 hours ago

Pertamina's Balikpapan Refinery Master Plan Reports 82 Pct Progress

The Balikpapan refinery master plan is expected to help Indonesia cut down its oil fuel imports.
News 8 hours ago

Nagorno-Karabakh Gov't to Dissolve Itself by January 2024

The move comes after Azerbaijan carried out a lightning offensive to reclaim full control over its breakaway region.
Special Updates 22 hours ago

Annual Culinary Fest 'Pasar Senggol' Returns to Summarecon Mall Bekasi

With 114 tenants at 99 booths, four food trucks, and 11 food carts, visitors have thousands of menu choices to explore.
News 22 hours ago

Anies and Muhaimin Visit Rizieq

The presidential candidate and his running mate attended the wedding of Rizieq's daughter in Petamburan.
News Sep 27, 2023 | 5:53 pm

Prabowo in 'Final Phase' of Selecting Running Mate

Among the three possible candidates for the presidential race, Anies Baswedan was the first to unveil his running mate.
COPYRIGHT © 2023 JAKARTA GLOBE. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED