Ganjar’s Support Jumps by 10 Points in 20 Months

Heru Andriyanto
November 27, 2022 | 9:20 pm
SHARE
From left: Prabowo Subianto, Ganjar Pranowo, and Anies Baswedan. (Beritasatu)
From left: Prabowo Subianto, Ganjar Pranowo, and Anies Baswedan. (Beritasatu)

Jakarta. Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo is the only potential candidate for the 2024 presidential election who enjoys a two-digit surge in support since March of last year, according to a new poll released on Sunday.

Over the last 20 months, his standing has gained 10.5 points to 16.6 percent when voters were asked to name their candidate independently, according to a survey by Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting (SMRC).

President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo remains a favorite figure among voters although his support has slipped by 1.3 points to 13.9 percent which puts him second. However, the incumbent won’t be able to join the race because of the Constitution’s presidential term limit.

Ganjar’s Support Jumps by 10 Points in 20 Months
Presidential election poll by Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting.

The support for Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto has been stagnant at 13.4 percent since last March, putting him at serious risk of being outperformed by former Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan.

Advertisement

Anies saw his support rise by 6.7 points to 12.1 percent as he inches closer to surpassing Prabowo. The National Democratic Party (Nasdem) has officially picked Anies as a presidential candidate but the party needs to forge a coalition to meet the threshold of 20 percent of seats in the House of Representatives to put him on the ballot.

Ganjar’s Support Jumps by 10 Points in 20 Months
Presidential election poll by Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting.

With no firm candidate until registration is open next year, “the most inclusive measurement to detect the support for a presidential candidate is by conducting an open simulation in which respondents were asked to name their choice for president freely and spontaneously,” SMRC said.

In a hypothetical race of three eligible front-runners, Ganjar gets most of the votes with 33.5 percent, leading by 3.4 points from Prabowo and by a further 8.4 points from Anies. 

Ganjar’s Support Jumps by 10 Points in 20 Months
Presidential election poll by Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting.

Under this scenario, there is still 11.3 percent of voters who remain undecided, meaning that the 2024 winner is very likely to be decided by a runoff because the elected president must win a simple majority of popular votes.

Read More:

When compared to the same poll conducted last month, the support for Anies dropped by 0.9 points, while his two rivals enjoyed a slight increase of 2.6 points for Prabowo and 1.4 points for Ganjar.

But Ganjar’s support has been on a steady rise since March in contrast to the fluctuating trend for Prabowo and Anies. 

Ganjar’s Support Jumps by 10 Points in 20 Months
Presidential election poll by Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting.

Ganjar’s overall favorability has been higher than that of any other potential candidates in the last 20 months. The survey indicated that 89 percent of voters have a favorable opinion of Ganjar, compared to 76 percent for Prabowo, 75 percent for Anies, 64 percent for Chief Economic Minister Airlangga Hartarto, and 45 percent for House Speaker Puan Maharani.

Puan Maharani
Among the three front-runners, Ganjar is the only one who hasn’t been officially picked as a candidate by any party, including the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) of which he is a party executive,

Many have speculated that PDI-P Chairwoman Megawati Soekarnoputri, the country’s first female president, wants to nominate her daughter Puan.

Ganjar’s Support Jumps by 10 Points in 20 Months
Presidential election poll by Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting.

The House speaker has been aggressively campaigning on social media platforms but the SMRC survey indicated that she would get only 3.4 percent of the votes in a hypothetical race against the three front-runners.

Prabowo, who has been nominated by his Great Indonesian Movement Party (Gerindra), would win the presidency without needing a runoff if Ganjar and Anies do not participate, SMRC said.

Ganjar’s Support Jumps by 10 Points in 20 Months
Presidential election poll by Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting.

President Jokowi, also a PDI-P executive, implicitly expressed his support for Ganjar during a rally in Jakarta on Saturday.

He told thousands of supporters that the future leader who puts people above all else is physically recognizable.

“Take a look at his hair -- if it’s fully white then he must be the person who keeps thinking of the people,” Jokowi said, apparently making reference to silver-haired Ganjar. 

The SMRC poll is conducted from November 5-13 involving 1,220 eligible voters across the country. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. 

Tags: Keywords:
SHARE

Related Articles


Business 2 hours ago

Prabowo Sees Danantara Amassing $1 Trillion in Assets

Prabowo forecasts Danantara’s assets to surpass $1 trillion, aiming to transform state firms and boost Indonesia’s economic strength.
Business 5 hours ago

Korean Firms Commit $1.7 Billion in New Investments Following Meeting with Prabowo

The total investment of the 19 South Korean companies represented by FKI has so far reached $15.4 billion in Indonesia.
News Apr 23, 2025 | 2:10 pm

Prabowo Likely to Send Jokowi to Pope’s Funeral

Prabowo is skipping Pope Francis' upcoming funeral due to unspecified reasons.
News Apr 23, 2025 | 9:55 am

Prabowo Unlikely to Attend Pope's Funeral, Will Send Representative

President Prabowo is unlikely to attend Pope Francis’ funeral in person but plans to send an official envoy to represent Indonesia.
News Apr 21, 2025 | 9:38 pm

President Prabowo, Megawati Mourn the Passing of Pope Francis

President Prabowo and Megawati mourn Pope Francis, praising his legacy of peace, humility, and compassion for the poor and marginalized.
News Apr 17, 2025 | 6:59 pm

Prabowo Vows Judicial Reform After Judges Arrested for Bribery

President Prabowo vows legal reforms after top judges, including South Jakarta’s chief, are arrested in a high-profile bribery scandal.
Business Apr 16, 2025 | 10:28 am

Indonesia, Qatar Agree on $4B Co-Investment Fund Led by Danantara, QIA

Indonesia and Qatar establish a $4B joint fund to invest in energy, tech, and healthcare, following President Prabowo's visit to Doha.
News Apr 12, 2025 | 1:25 pm

At Antalya Forum, Prabowo Warns Against ‘Might Makes Right’ World Order

Prabowo calls for diplomacy, UN reform, and fairer world order at Antalya Forum, warns against global shift to power-based politics.
News Apr 12, 2025 | 11:25 am

Prabowo: Indonesia Won’t Take Sides in US-China Trade War

President Prabowo says Indonesia won’t take sides in the US-China trade war, urging both powers to reach a fair and peaceful resolution.
Business Apr 11, 2025 | 5:09 pm

Prabowo Warned Against Easing Local Content Policy Just To Make Trump Happy

President Prabowo Subianto recently floated a plan to make Indonesia’s local content policy “more realistic and flexible”.

The Latest


News 25 minutes ago

Conclave to Elect New Pope to Begin May 7 as Cardinals Seek Unity

Cardinals set May 7 for the conclave to elect Pope Francis' successor, seeking unity amid global diversity and lingering tensions.
Business 41 minutes ago

Indonesian Banks Pass Stress Test Amid US Tariffs, Depreciating Rupiah: OJK

OJK stress test finds Indonesian banks resilient amid global uncertainty, though rising loan risks pose a challenge.
Business 1 hours ago

President Prabowo Approves Task Forces to Address Tariffs, Unemployment, and Deregulation

Indonesia forms three task forces to tackle economic issues, focusing on US tariffs, job creation, and regulatory reforms amid global uncert
Business 2 hours ago

Prabowo Sees Danantara Amassing $1 Trillion in Assets

Prabowo forecasts Danantara’s assets to surpass $1 trillion, aiming to transform state firms and boost Indonesia’s economic strength.
Special Updates 3 hours ago

Inspiring Stories: The Journey of Three Solopreneurs Building Brands Amid Economic and Market Uncertainty

According to the Segara Institute, one in three Indonesians has the potential to become a solopreneur by 2030, but challenges persist.
COPYRIGHT © 2025 JAKARTA GLOBE. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED